Timing is everything in F1 betting. You might spot the right driver to win, but...

https://super-wiki.win/index.php/How_Do_Bettors_Use_Sector_Times_to_Spot_an_F1_Price_Mistake%3F

Timing is everything in F1 betting. You might spot the right driver to win, but if the odds shift from +500 down to +190 before you place your bet, that winner pick turns into a weaker payout